Impacts and Projections

The impacts of climate change are wide-ranging, rippling out beyond weather patterns to affect people’s assets and community infrastructure, biodiversity and human health.

Screenshot 2026-07-11 at 9.22.07 PM.png

The Manawatū-Whanganui Regional Climate Change Risk Assessment highlights specific risks for the districts of our diverse region.

A Hill Country: Transport networks damaged by landslides and soil erosion. Extreme weather events cause crop damage and economic disruption. Increased fire risk. 

B Plains: Damage to housing, public spaces and infrastructure from flooding. Crop damage caused by drought. 

C Estuaries: Erosion and coastal inundation in some coastal areas - damage to commerical and residential buildings, and energy infrastructure. 

D Social Impacts: Risk of inequitable outcomes as costs and impacts fall unevenly across the community. 

E Tourism: Reduced snow and ice cause economic disruption. Extreme weather events impact tourism. 

F Urban Areas: Landslides, soil erosion and inland flooding highest risk to urban areas like Palmerston North. Extreme weather events. Water supplies affected by reduced rainfall and drought. 

G Tohu* change and are less reliable, affecting planting, resource gathering and hunting. 

H Damage to culturally significant marae and urupā from flooding and erosion. 

I Loss of taonga species (in freshwater systems, on land, and along the coast) as the climate warms. 

J Manaakitanga threatened if manuhiri cannot be offered local delicacies and marae are damaged. 

K Loss of tikanga and mātauranga around resources, affecting future generations.